Scenario Modelling & Decision Support
We model a decision before money moves, with every assumption visible, and name one recommended option and one alternative.
Questions we help answer
- At what volume does this new product, location or channel break even?
- What does this equipment or system really cost over its working life, against the alternatives?
- What happens to margin if we change prices, and how much volume can we afford to lose?
- How does a change in exchange rates or input prices flow through to profit and cash?
- Which assumptions does this decision depend on most?
What we do
Break-even and pricing models
Unit economics, price sensitivity and break-even volumes, built from recorded costs and sales history.
Total cost of ownership
Purchase, running, financing, downtime and subcontracting costs over the working life of equipment, systems or premises.
Expansion and market entry cases
Cost, revenue and cash profiles for a new location, market or channel, with timing and payback under stated assumptions.
Sensitivity and stress tests
The assumptions that move the result most, shown with the range at which the decision would change.
- How an engagement with THEFOCUS startsDiscuss this with us
How we approach it
- 01
State every assumption
Each input has a source and an owner, and the model shows which inputs the result depends on most.
- 02
Recommend one option
The output names one recommended option and one alternative, with the reasons first and the other candidates listed with why they were set aside.
- 03
Check the model afterwards
Once a decision is taken, actual results are compared with the model so future models learn from the gap.
Relevant industries
How an engagement with THEFOCUS starts
A first conversation is about your situation. If there is a fit, we propose a scoped diagnostic with a fixed deliverable before any larger commitment.
Discuss this with us01
A working conversation
Forty-five minutes with the person who would lead the work. We ask about the decision, the systems behind it and the deadline.
02
A scoped diagnostic
Read-only access, a fixed timeframe and a written finding: what the records show, what it costs and what to change first.
03
A plan you can act on
Changes, owners, measures and exclusions in writing. The same team then builds and measures, or hands over cleanly.
- One accountable team
- The people who diagnose also build the systems and measure the result.
- Partners chosen per problem
- Independent specialists join for the parts that need them, under one contract.
- Records before dashboards
- Orders, ledgers and logs are reconciled before any recommendation depends on them.
Questions executives ask
Is a scenario model investment advice?
No. Models support management decisions about your own business. We do not give regulated financial or investment advice, and the decision stays with you and your advisers.
Can our team change the model after you hand it over?
Yes. Inputs and assumptions sit in one clearly marked place, so your team can change them and see the effect without editing formulas.
Discuss this with us
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